Analysis of Trades and Advice for Trading the British Pound

The 1.2622 price test coincided with the MACD indicator being significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I refrained from buying the pound. During the mid-American session, the price tested 1.2662. I planned to sell on the rebound and secured around 20 points in profit before demand for the pound returned.

Yesterday's U.S. data met expectations and catalyzed the pound's strengthening. With no major UK economic news, investors continued active purchases, paving the way for further growth. Under these conditions, markets often undergo corrections, giving the pound a chance to extend its upward trend. Long-term factors, such as the Bank of England's cautious policy stance, are unlikely to strongly drive this trend. However, a steady improvement in UK economic indicators could support the pound, particularly if signs of future rate hikes emerge.

For intraday strategies, I will focus on Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 for both buying and selling opportunities.

Buying Scenarios

1. Scenario 1:I recommend buying the pound near 1.2678 (green line on the chart), targeting 1.2725 (thicker green line). At 1.2725, consider exiting purchases and opening sell positions, expecting a reversal of 30-35 points. The pound's rise today is likely within the framework of further correction.Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise.
2. Scenario 2:Consider buying the pound after two consecutive tests of 1.2651, provided the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This setup limits downward potential and likely triggers an upward reversal. Growth toward the resistance levels of 1.2678 and 1.2725 can be anticipated.

Selling Scenarios

1. Scenario 1: I recommend selling the pound after a break below 1.2651 (red line on the chart), expecting a quick decline. The sellers' key target is 1.2605. At this level, consider exiting sales and opening buy positions, anticipating a reversal of 20-25 points. Selling is preferable at higher levels.Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to decline.
2. Scenario 2: Consider selling the pound after two consecutive tests of 1.2678, provided the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This setup limits upward potential and likely triggers a downward reversal. A decline toward the support levels of 1.2651 and 1.2605 can be expected.

Chart Legend

• Thin green line: Entry price for buying the instrument.
• Thick green line: Suggested price for placing Take Profit orders or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
• Thin red line: Entry price for selling the instrument.
• Thick red line: Suggested price for placing Take Profit orders or manually securing profits, as further declines below this level are unlikely.
• MACD Indicator: Use overbought and oversold zones to guide entry decisions.

Important Notes for Beginner Forex Traders

1. Caution Before Major Reports: Avoid entering the market ahead of key fundamental reports to minimize the risk of sudden price swings.
2. Always Use Stop-Loss Orders: Trading without stop-losses can quickly deplete your account, especially when trading large volumes or neglecting money management principles.
3. Stick to a Clear Trading Plan: A structured plan, like the one presented here, is crucial for success.
4. Avoid Spontaneous Decisions: Reacting impulsively to the market often leads to losses, particularly for intraday traders.

By following these tips and maintaining discipline in your trading approach, you can improve your chances of success in the Forex market.